Strategic research and advisory

Strategic clarity for contested systems.

EvoDefence helps senior teams make better decisions about dual-use infrastructure, escalation dynamics, and emerging defence technology in open-source, unclassified contexts.

Forthcoming book Swarm Potomac Books · January 2027 Live orbital tools SwarmWatch + PadWatch What is in orbit, and how it got there Live public platform Nuclear Risk Watch Civil nuclear hazard exposure

Active research projects

Public tools and research platforms.

EvoDefence develops public-facing research tools that make complex strategic systems easier to inspect. SwarmWatch and PadWatch work as a paired orbital picture: what is in orbit now, and how it got there. Nuclear Risk Watch applies the same open-data logic to civil nuclear hazard exposure.

Purpose

What EvoDefence does.

EvoDefence provides strategic decision support and geopolitical research at the intersection of space, cyber, AI, and defence. The work is designed for leaders who already have capable technical teams, but need sharper framing of risk, incentives, signalling, and second-order effects.

This is not a managed security service, generic consultancy, or alarmist intelligence feed. Engagements are small, focused, and centred on decisions that need clarity without pretending uncertainty has disappeared.

Who it is for

Who it helps.

Boards and investors

Briefings that make exposure, dependencies, and decision trade-offs legible without overstatement.

Founders and operators

Support for defence-adjacent positioning, partner narratives, and credible risk communication.

Policy and risk teams

Open-source research that connects technical systems to escalation dynamics and incentives.

Where we help

Where we help.

01

Dual-use exposure

Understanding how space-enabled connectivity, imagery, timing, cloud services, and AI infrastructure look in contested environments.

02

Escalation risk

Assessing how actions, outages, interference, or misattribution may be interpreted by different actors under pressure.

03

Board clarity

Preparing senior conversations about geopolitical and defence-linked risk with evidence, restraint, and decision relevance.

04

Strategic positioning

Helping organisations sell, partner, or communicate in defence-adjacent ecosystems without buzzwords or fragile claims.

How to engage

Ways to engage.

Working method

How the work runs.

  1. Define the decision Clarify the question, time horizon, constraints, and audience.
  2. Map the system Surface dependencies, actors, incentives, and plausible failure modes.
  3. Apply strategic logic Assess signalling, escalation, attribution, second-order effects, and uncertainty.
  4. Deliver the output Provide a briefing, memo, research note, or agreed artefact with explicit next steps.

Research and development

Concepts under active development.

Alongside active public projects, EvoDefence develops product concepts and demonstrators that test where open data, mission context, structured triage, and analyst oversight can support better security decisions. These are R&D areas, not standard consultancy deliverables.

Product concept

GroundWatch

Mission-aware cybersecurity for satellite operators. GroundWatch sits above existing SIEM deployments and enriches alerts with physics-aware checks against the spacecraft mission, contact windows, authorised plans, and owned command paths.

Discuss GroundWatch

Operational intelligence prototype

GreyZone Watch

An analyst-facing common operating picture for grey-zone activity below the threshold of armed conflict, combining orbital, GNSS interference, maritime, cyber, sabotage, electronic warfare, and disinformation signals.

Preview concept

Research notes

Research notes.

Contact

Start with the decision.

A brief outline is enough: context, decision, constraints, intended audience, and ideal timeline.

  • UK-based, international in scope
  • Open-source and unclassified by default
  • Small engagements, high signal
  • Confidentiality by default